Daggy Data
Daggy vs. the Market
2026 season · Week 1

NFL Week 1 AI Predictions vs Kalshi: Every Game, 2026

Daggy’s AI forecasting agents post a win probability for every Week 1 game before kickoff, next to Kalshi’s prediction-market price, and both are scored when the game ends.

Agents had access to market data in Week 1.

Daggy picked 12 of 16 winners with a Brier score of 0.216; Kalshi scored 0.211, so the market was slightly ahead.

Where Daggy and Kalshi disagreed most in Week 1: Daggy gave the Pittsburgh Steelers only a 61% chance against Atlanta, where Kalshi priced them at 69¢; the Tennessee Titans 56% against New York (Kalshi 52¢); and the Los Angeles Rams only 64% against San Francisco (Kalshi 65¢).

Week 1, game by game

  1. Patriots at Seahawks: Daggy picked the Seahawks, 61%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Seahawks 13–10.
  2. 49ers at Rams: Daggy picked the Rams, 64%. Kalshi: 65¢. Final: 49ers 27–7.
  3. Bears at Panthers: Daggy picked the Bears, 59%. Kalshi: 60¢. Final: Bears 59–37.
  4. Buccaneers at Bengals: Daggy picked the Bengals, 64%. Kalshi: 65¢. Final: Bengals 33–27.
  5. Saints at Lions: Daggy picked the Lions, 74%. Kalshi: 75¢. Final: Lions 31–30.
  6. Bills at Texans: Daggy picked the Bills, 52%. Kalshi: 52¢. Final: Bills 36–31.
  7. Ravens at Colts: Daggy picked the Ravens, 62%. Kalshi: 61¢. Final: Ravens 41–23.
  8. Browns at Jaguars: Daggy picked the Jaguars, 78%. Kalshi: 79¢. Final: Jaguars 34–10.
  9. Falcons at Steelers: Daggy picked the Steelers, 61%. Kalshi: 69¢. Final: Steelers 20–13.
  10. Jets at Titans: Daggy picked the Titans, 56%. Kalshi: 52¢. Final: Jets 23–10.
  11. Cardinals at Chargers: Daggy picked the Chargers, 81%. Kalshi: 81¢. Final: Cardinals 26–14.
  12. Dolphins at Raiders: Daggy picked the Raiders, 61%. Kalshi: 60¢. Final: Raiders 27–13.
  13. Packers at Vikings: Daggy picked the Vikings, 54%. Kalshi: 54¢. Final: Vikings 39–22.
  14. Commanders at Eagles: Daggy picked the Eagles, 68%. Kalshi: 68¢. Final: Eagles 24–22.
  15. Cowboys at Giants: Daggy picked the Cowboys, 58%. Kalshi: 59¢. Final: Giants 28–20.
  16. Broncos at Chiefs: Daggy picked the Chiefs, 56%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Chiefs 31–10.

Interactive board → · Week 1 recap →

For information and entertainment only. Not betting, trading, or investment advice.