Blog
- Synthetic agents are easier to manipulate in experiments than humans
Studies performed in silico may not travel well to the humans we ultimately care about.
- Does the Fed manipulate rates in election years?
Using implied forward rates to back out expected interest rates in election years shows that the bond market does not expect Fed manipulation.
- External Validity
Understanding when model retraining won't work
- Mortgage rates after a dovish 2025 Jackson Hole Speech
Using Daggy to analyze mortgage rates after Powell's "Dovish" Jackson Hole speech
- Mortgage rates under various economic scenarios
Using Daggy to analyze how economic scenarios will impact mortgage rates
- Is July really a bad month for stocks?
Someone at lunch claimed July is bad for stocks. With Daggy, we built 8 statistical models to show this isn't the case and revealed why raw data deceives.