Daggy vs. the Market
2026 season · Week 9
NFL Week 9 AI Predictions vs Kalshi: Every Game, 2026
Daggy’s AI forecasting agents post a win probability for every Week 9 game before kickoff, next to Kalshi’s prediction-market price, and both are scored when the game ends.
Daggy picked 14 of 15 winners with a Brier score of 0.125; Kalshi scored 0.117, so the market was slightly ahead.
Where Daggy and Kalshi disagreed most in Week 9: Daggy gave the Denver Broncos a 68% chance at Carolina, where Kalshi priced them at 57¢; the Seattle Seahawks only 69% against Arizona (Kalshi 79¢); and the Chicago Bears only 65% against Tampa Bay (Kalshi 73¢).
Week 9, game by game
- Jaguars at Ravens: Daggy picked the Jaguars, 74%. Kalshi: 81¢. Final: Jaguars 33–10.
- Bengals at Falcons: Daggy picked the Bengals, 66%. Kalshi: 61¢. Final: Bengals 34–17.
- Broncos at Panthers: Daggy picked the Broncos, 68%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Broncos 26–21.
- Cowboys at Colts: Daggy picked the Cowboys, 62%. Kalshi: 69¢. Final: Cowboys 27–23.
- Jets at Chiefs: Daggy picked the Chiefs, 78%. Kalshi: 81¢. Final: Chiefs 35–12.
- Lions at Dolphins: Daggy picked the Lions, 73%. Kalshi: 74¢. Final: Lions 19–9.
- Browns at Saints: Daggy picked the Saints, 60%. Kalshi: 61¢. Final: Saints 23–22.
- Giants at Eagles: Daggy picked the Giants, 65%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Giants 19–11.
- Rams at Commanders: Daggy picked the Rams, 64%. Kalshi: 67¢. Final: Rams 20–13.
- Texans at Chargers: Daggy picked the Texans, 67%. Kalshi: 67¢. Final: Texans 44–22.
- Packers at Patriots: Daggy picked the Patriots, 59%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Packers 45–27.
- Cardinals at Seahawks: Daggy picked the Seahawks, 69%. Kalshi: 79¢. Final: Seahawks 17–3.
- Raiders at 49ers: Daggy picked the 49ers, 76%. Kalshi: 81¢. Final: 49ers 38–17.
- Buccaneers at Bears: Daggy picked the Bears, 65%. Kalshi: 73¢. Final: Bears 27–24.
- Bills at Vikings: Daggy picked the Bills, 61%. Kalshi: 63¢. Final: Bills 23–6.
Interactive board → · Week 9 recap →
For information and entertainment only. Not betting, trading, or investment advice.