Daggy Data
Daggy vs. the Market
2026 season · Week 3

NFL Week 3 AI Predictions vs Kalshi: Every Game, 2026

Daggy’s AI forecasting agents post a win probability for every Week 3 game before kickoff, next to Kalshi’s prediction-market price, and both are scored when the game ends.

Daggy picked 9 of 16 winners with a Brier score of 0.243; Kalshi scored 0.258, so Daggy was ahead.

Where Daggy and Kalshi disagreed most in Week 3: Daggy gave the Kansas City Chiefs only a 74% chance at Miami, where Kalshi priced them at 85¢; the Denver Broncos 55% against Los Angeles (Kalshi 45¢); and the Minnesota Vikings 60% at Tampa Bay (Kalshi 52¢).

Week 3, game by game

  1. Falcons at Packers: Daggy picked the Packers, 68%. Kalshi: 70¢. Final: Falcons 35–14.
  2. Chargers at Bills: Daggy picked the Bills, 77%. Kalshi: 76¢. Final: Bills 24–16.
  3. Panthers at Browns: Daggy picked the Panthers, 55%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Browns 21–18.
  4. Jets at Lions: Daggy picked the Lions, 69%. Kalshi: 73¢. Final: Lions 31–24.
  5. Texans at Colts: Daggy picked the Texans, 55%. Kalshi: 54¢. Final: Colts 19–17.
  6. Patriots at Jaguars: Daggy picked the Jaguars, 56%. Kalshi: 60¢. Final: Jaguars 35–6.
  7. Chiefs at Dolphins: Daggy picked the Chiefs, 74%. Kalshi: 85¢. Final: Chiefs 24–10.
  8. Titans at Giants: Daggy picked the Giants, 56%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Giants 12–7.
  9. Bengals at Steelers: Daggy picked the Bengals, 56%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Steelers 30–27.
  10. Seahawks at Commanders: Daggy picked the Seahawks, 76%. Kalshi: 76¢. Final: Commanders 33–31.
  11. Cardinals at 49ers: Daggy picked the 49ers, 78%. Kalshi: 79¢. Final: 49ers 36–30.
  12. Vikings at Buccaneers: Daggy picked the Vikings, 60%. Kalshi: 52¢. Final: Vikings 23–16.
  13. Ravens at Cowboys: Daggy picked the Ravens, 61%. Kalshi: 63¢. Final: Ravens 34–31.
  14. Raiders at Saints: Daggy picked the Saints, 59%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Raiders 35–27.
  15. Rams at Broncos: Daggy picked the Broncos, 55%. Kalshi: 45¢. Final: Broncos 30–26.
  16. Eagles at Bears: Daggy picked the Eagles, 64%. Kalshi: 68¢. Final: Bears 27–7.

Interactive board → · Week 3 recap →

For information and entertainment only. Not betting, trading, or investment advice.