Daggy Data
Daggy vs. the Market
2026 season · Week 4

NFL Week 4 AI Predictions vs Kalshi: Every Game, 2026

Daggy’s AI forecasting agents post a win probability for every Week 4 game before kickoff, next to Kalshi’s prediction-market price, and both are scored when the game ends.

Daggy picked 11 of 16 winners with a Brier score of 0.214; Kalshi scored 0.223, so Daggy was slightly ahead.

Where Daggy and Kalshi disagreed most in Week 4: Daggy gave the Indianapolis Colts only a 51% chance at Washington, where Kalshi priced them at 63¢; the Los Angeles Rams only 51% at Philadelphia (Kalshi 61¢); and the New York Giants 52% against Arizona (Kalshi 44¢).

Week 4, game by game

  1. Steelers at Browns: Daggy picked the Steelers, 51%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Browns 27–24.
  2. Colts at Commanders: Daggy picked the Colts, 51%. Kalshi: 63¢. Final: Colts 30–13.
  3. Titans at Ravens: Daggy picked the Ravens, 80%. Kalshi: 86¢. Final: Ravens 24–18.
  4. Patriots at Bills: Daggy picked the Bills, 72%. Kalshi: 74¢. Final: Patriots 29–26.
  5. Jets at Bears: Daggy picked the Bears, 68%. Kalshi: 63¢. Final: Bears 23–12.
  6. Jaguars at Bengals: Daggy picked the Bengals, 50%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: Jaguars 22–17.
  7. Cowboys at Texans: Daggy picked the Texans, 57%. Kalshi: 60¢. Final: Cowboys 34–30.
  8. Cardinals at Giants: Daggy picked the Giants, 52%. Kalshi: 44¢. Final: Giants 36–24.
  9. Rams at Eagles: Daggy picked the Rams, 51%. Kalshi: 61¢. Final: Rams 24–20.
  10. Packers at Buccaneers: Daggy picked the Packers, 61%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Packers 17–14.
  11. Dolphins at Vikings: Daggy picked the Vikings, 80%. Kalshi: 84¢. Final: Vikings 15–10.
  12. Chiefs at Raiders: Daggy picked the Chiefs, 58%. Kalshi: 65¢. Final: Chiefs 30–27.
  13. Chargers at Seahawks: Daggy picked the Seahawks, 76%. Kalshi: 76¢. Final: Seahawks 30–23.
  14. Broncos at 49ers: Daggy picked the 49ers, 62%. Kalshi: 57¢. Final: 49ers 24–14.
  15. Lions at Panthers: Daggy picked the Lions, 64%. Kalshi: 64¢. Final: Panthers 32–26.
  16. Falcons at Saints: Daggy picked the Falcons, 52%. Kalshi: 44¢. Final: Falcons 45–24.

Interactive board → · Week 4 recap →

For information and entertainment only. Not betting, trading, or investment advice.