Daggy Data
Daggy vs. the Market
2026 season · Week 5

NFL Week 5 AI Predictions vs Kalshi: Every Game, 2026

Daggy’s AI forecasting agents post a win probability for every Week 5 game before kickoff, next to Kalshi’s prediction-market price, and both are scored when the game ends.

Daggy picked 8 of 15 winners with a Brier score of 0.240; Kalshi scored 0.239, so the market was slightly ahead.

Where Daggy and Kalshi disagreed most in Week 5: Daggy gave the Minnesota Vikings a 70% chance at New Orleans, where Kalshi priced them at 55¢; the Houston Texans only 63% at Tennessee (Kalshi 77¢); and the Cleveland Browns 58% at New York (Kalshi 45¢).

Week 5, game by game

  1. Buccaneers at Cowboys: Daggy picked the Cowboys, 75%. Kalshi: 80¢. Final: Buccaneers 24–16.
  2. Eagles at Jaguars: Daggy picked the Jaguars, 70%. Kalshi: 77¢. Final: Jaguars 19–17.
  3. Bears at Packers: Daggy picked the Bears, 52%. Kalshi: 53¢. Final: Packers 31–7.
  4. Bengals at Dolphins: Daggy picked the Bengals, 63%. Kalshi: 74¢. Final: Bengals 31–24.
  5. Raiders at Patriots: Daggy picked the Patriots, 58%. Kalshi: 64¢. Final: Patriots 45–17.
  6. Vikings at Saints: Daggy picked the Vikings, 70%. Kalshi: 55¢. Final: Vikings 23–13.
  7. Browns at Jets: Daggy picked the Browns, 58%. Kalshi: 45¢. Final: Jets 17–12.
  8. Colts at Steelers: Daggy picked the Steelers, 59%. Kalshi: 58¢. Final: Steelers 34–22.
  9. Texans at Titans: Daggy picked the Texans, 63%. Kalshi: 77¢. Final: Texans 26–3.
  10. Giants at Commanders: Daggy picked the Commanders, 55%. Kalshi: 63¢. Final: tied 27–27.
  11. Broncos at Chargers: Daggy picked the Broncos, 61%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Broncos 23–17.
  12. Lions at Cardinals: Daggy picked the Lions, 61%. Kalshi: 69¢. Final: Lions 45–21.
  13. 49ers at Seahawks: Daggy picked the Seahawks, 57%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: 49ers 32–29.
  14. Ravens at Falcons: Daggy picked the Falcons, 64%. Kalshi: 61¢. Final: Ravens 30–23.
  15. Bills at Rams: Daggy picked the Rams, 55%. Kalshi: 62¢. Final: Bills 37–34.

Interactive board → · Week 5 recap →

For information and entertainment only. Not betting, trading, or investment advice.